云计算第四次写入政府工作报告 已成中国经济新动能

国务院总理李克强在2018年政府工作报告中回顾过去五年工作时谈到,“坚持创新引领发展,深入开展‘互联网+’行动,推动大数据、云计算、物联网广泛应用,新兴产业蓬勃发展,传统产业深刻重塑。”

在“对2018年政府工作的建议”中,李克强首先强调了“深入供给侧结构性改革”,紧接着第一项建议就提出要“发展壮大新动能”,再次强调“运用新技术、新业态、新模式,大力改造提升传统产业” 。

言外之意就是,大数据、云计算、物联网等新技术、新业态、新模式,过去五年在重塑传统产业方面已经发挥巨大的作用,今后将继续充当改造、提升传统产业的新动能。

从2015年开始,云计算已经是连续四年被写入政府工作报告,而“运用新技术、新业态、新模式改造提升传统产业”等类似表述,也已经是第三次被写入政府工作报告。

其中,2015年《政府工作报告》首先提出“大数据发展行动计划”,接着提出要推动互联网、云计算、大数据、物联网等与现代制造业结合。

2016年《政府工作报告》强调要促进大数据、云计算、物联网广泛应用。

2017年《政府工作报告》再次明确提出,要“加快大数据、云计算、物联网应用,以新技术、新业态、新模式,推动传统产业生产、管理和营销模式变革”。

向传统产业全面渗透

很多人可能想不到,云计算、大数据、物联网等新技术已经渗透到社会、生活的各个层面,就连每年一度的全国两会也不例外。

根据《人民日报》海外版的披露,2018年全国两会的安保、会务和新闻生产等,都应用到了云计算、大数据、物联网等新技术。

其中,在安保上,2018年全国两会引入一款叫做“天网”的动态人脸识别实时预警系统,结合云计算、大数据、AI优势的这一系统,可以通过动态人脸识别,在数秒之内识别20亿人。

在新闻生产方面,新华社和阿里巴巴共同研发的国内首款媒体人工智能平台——媒体大脑在2018年全国两会期间投入使用。基于阿里云平台开发的“媒体大脑”,具有在15秒内产出新闻内容的能力。2018年全国两会期间,“媒体大脑”不仅在5亿个网页中梳理出了两会舆情热词,并且生产发布了全球首条关于两会内容的MGC(机器生产内容)视频新闻。

实际上早在2015年,全国两会的方方面面就开始运用云计算、大数据等新技术。

公开资料显示,2015年全国两会上,国务院总理李克强做完《政府工作报告》不久,国新办邀请2015年政府工作报告起草组负责人、时任国务院研究室主任宁吉喆介绍政府工作报告起草情况。宁吉喆介绍说,2015年政府工作报告起草过程中,智库、专家库提供了支撑,还运用了互联网、大数据、云计算等现代方法和手段。

同样是2015年全国两会期间,时任发改委主任徐绍史在梅地亚中心举行“经济社会发展与宏观调控”记者会,在回答中外记者提问时提到,“记者朋友们可能也都注意到了,现在一些统计数据不匹配、相背离的现象很多。经济进入新常态,有新的特点、新的情况,因此需要应用大数据、云计算以及多种分析、评价方法来分析经济运行情况,来掌握新常态下经济的新特点,探寻新常态下经济运行的新规律。”

中国工程院院士、中国互联网协会理事长邬贺铨表示,云计算、大数据等新技术,正在开启一个构筑中国经济转型发展新格局、重塑未来新动力的时代。云计算、大数据等新技术就像一把“手术刀”,一方面成为推动旧模式升级为新模式的全新方法论,另一方面也成为地方政府解决落后产能问题的全新路径,并且以全新的思维方式,在传统产业转型升级过程中充分发挥新技术的预警、预测、决策职能,让生产过程、决策过程更加理性、也更具前瞻性。

全国人大代表、浪潮集团董事长孙丕恕也表示:“过去5年来,我深切感受到,以云计算、大数据、人工智能为代表的新一代信息技术,得到了快速发展和广泛应用,有力推动了数字中国建设,也带来了空前的技术革命,新动能正在焕发出巨大活力。”

市场格局向大者恒大演变

在成为中国经济转型升级新动能的过程中,云计算、大数据、物联网等相关产业自身也得到了极大发展。尤其作为大数据、物联网等新技术实现的基础,云计算产业在中国乃至全球的市场格局也在逐渐形成。

市场调研机构Gartner的预测显示,2017年全球公共云服务市场规模将达到2662亿美元,与2016年的2196亿美元相比,同比增长18.5%。Gartner的数据显示,2012年、2013年、2014年、2015年、2016年全球公共云服务的市场规模分别达到1110亿美元、1310亿美元、1540亿美元、1780亿美元、2196亿美元,计划在五年之内翻了一番,增长速度非常迅猛。

同时,根据Gartner的相关研究报告,全球公共云服务市场逐渐演变成为一个由“3A”(亚马逊AWS、微软Azure、阿里云Alibaba Cloud)主导的市场

Gartner数据显示,就市场份额而言,2015年全球公共云服务市场的前六名为:亚马逊AWS、微软Azure、Rackspace、阿里云、谷歌、IBM,市场份额分别为:39.8%、5.8%、2.7%、1.8%、1.5%、1.2%,亚马逊AWS一家的份额,相当于第二、三、四、五、六名总和的3倍。

到2016年,全球公共云服务市场前六名排序变为:亚马逊AWS、微软Azure、阿里云、谷歌、Rackspace、IBM,市场份额分别为44.2%、7.1%、3.0%、2.3%、2.2%、1.4%,亚马逊AWS的市场份额依然相当于身后五家总和的2.76倍。

Gartner还没有给出2017年的调研数据。不过,外媒在2017年9月的相关报道显示,去年上半年亚马逊AWS在全球的市场份额已经扩大到47.1%。由此可见,“大者恒大”在公共云服务市场也是颠扑不破的真理。实际上,在中国市场亦是如此。

来自中国信通院的数据显示,中国公共云服务的市场规模在2013年、2014年、2015年、2016年、2017年分别为203.6亿元、264.4亿元、316.4亿元、378.0亿元、493.4亿元,增长速度同样惊人。

而根据市场研究机构IDC的统计数据,在2017年上半年,阿里云在中国云计算市场占据47.6%,同样相当于第二名腾讯云(9.6%)、第三名金山云(6.5%)、第四名天翼云(6.0%)、第五名Ucloud(5.5%)之和的差不多两倍。

“全球公共云服务市场的强劲增长势头反映了人们从传统IT服务向云端服务的转变,因为企业越来越倾向于追求数字化商业战略。”Gartner一位分析师表示,云计算市场呈现出来的强劲增长势头在未来5~7年都会一直保持下去,因为“尽管很多公司担心安全问题而对云服务敬而远之,但随着时间的推移,人们的这种担心最终会淡化乃至消失,越来越多的企业将会增强自己的云服务的信心,我们也会看到越来越多的公司继续将业务向云端转移,这必将促进全球云服务市场的继续发展”。

IDC一位分析师则预测:“2018年预计在公共云服务上投入最多的行业将是离散制造业、专业服务业和银行业。而未来五年,在公共云服务方面支出增长最快的行业将是专业服务业、电信业、银行业,预计复合年增长率将分别达到24.4%、23.3%、23.0%。因为这些行业已经认识到,公共云服务可以带来的巨大收益,这些行业的企业组织正在利用公共云服务快速开发并推出第三方平台解决方案,比如大数据分析和物联网应用,这将会增强和优化这些行业客户的数字化进程,并大幅度降低行业企业的运营成本。”

本文主要内容引自 新浪科技

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